⚡ Key points

• All five regions 🟢 GREEN — fully open; the 2–3 July security activity was entirely across the border in southern Lebanon — no Home Front Command alerts inside Israel.
• IAA July forecast: ~2.3M passengers (vs 1.67M in July 2025) on 14,500 movements; 33 foreign airlines at end-June, ~44 expected during July (pre-war 77).
• US refueling aircraft relocated from Ben Gurion — summer stand constraint resolved; Terminal 1 handles international departures; Lufthansa 29 weekly this month (54 planned from August); Air France back to daily Paris CDG this weekend.
• The US–Iran 60-day window (to ~mid-August) holds; Iran’s 4 July Strait-of-Hormuz fees statement is a friction point — no aviation impact.
• No North-American lift before ~September (American now reported October 2026 ⚠); Ryanair has removed Tel Aviv from its network — route US/Canada clients via Europe.

Executive summary

As of 6 July 2026 the recovery has broadened from single-carrier restarts to system-level capacity growth. The Israel Airports Authority expects roughly 2.3 million passengers at Ben Gurion in July on 14,500 aircraft movements; 33 foreign airlines were operating by end-June and about 44 are expected during July — still short of the pre-war 77, but the steepest monthly ramp since the April reopening. The US refueling aircraft that had constrained parking stands were relocated; Terminal 1 handles international departures; Lufthansa runs 29 weekly flights this month (54 planned from August) and Air France returns to daily Paris CDG service this weekend. Fares on competitive routes have begun their first year-on-year declines (Budapest −47%, Athens −37%) even as global fares rise.

On security, the ceasefire architecture passed its first real stress test: after a Hezbollah gunman seriously wounded an IDF reservist near Bint Jbeil in southern Lebanon on 2 July, the IDF struck ~10 Hezbollah sites on 3 July — and the exchange stayed contained entirely across the border, with no Home Front Command alerts and no impact inside Israel or on civil aviation. Lebanon’s President Aoun publicly defended the 26 June trilateral framework the same day, and the US–Iran 60-day window (to ~mid-August) holds after the 1 July Qatar talks. No advisory levels have moved since 25 June. Overall assessment for operators: open and bookable for Q3 — the binding constraint is shifting from seat supply toward fare levels and schedule reliability, not ground security.

Key developments

Regional assessment

All five regions 🟢 GREEN — Fully open: Tel Aviv & Central Coast · Dead Sea & Judean Desert (Ein Gedi’s Wadi David partial) · Jerusalem · Northern Israel & Galilee (full civilian activity since 22 June; border-strip closed military zones off-limits) · Negev & Eilat (southern border zone off-limits).

Advisories & watch list

No advisory-level changes since 25 June: US L3 Reconsider · UK eased (most of Israel green; page refreshed 2 Jul) · Germany increased caution · France avoid non-essential · Australia reconsider (eased) · Canada avoid non-essential.

• Southern-Lebanon friction containment; Hezbollah still rejects the trilateral framework.
• Restarts: Eurowings 10/18 Jul, FlyOne 19 Jul, Overseas late Jul (⚠ provisional); August wave — SWISS daily Zurich, Lufthansa 54 weekly, Austrian 14 weekly, Brussels Airlines, Air Seychelles.
• 60-day US–Iran window to ~mid-August; Hormuz fees as a talks stressor.
• North-American returns ~September (American Oct 2026 ⚠ divergent); Ryanair exit; easyJet extended.
• Fare trend as July capacity lands; High Holidays 12–13 Sep & 20–21 Sep.